摘要
利用我国1980-2004年的样本数据,考察居民储蓄、政府储蓄与投资之间的长期动态关系,协整检验表明:储蓄与投资之间存在长期的均衡关系,而且当前政府储蓄的转化效率要远远高于居民储蓄的转化效率.进一步的Granger因果检验也表明,储蓄的变化影响投资的变化.基于上述的实证分析,提出了一些改善转化效率的措施.
In this essay, the author systematically examines the long-term dynamic relationships between savings and investments based on the model data from year 1980 to 2004. The result of co integration examining reveals that there exist a positive long-term equilibrium relationship between both private and public savings and investments. Furthermore, the test of causality demonstrates that the changes of savings will impact on the changes of investment. Based on this analysis, the suggestions of how to improve the efficiency of saving-investment conversion are presented.
出处
《内江师范学院学报》
2007年第2期71-73,90,共4页
Journal of Neijiang Normal University
关键词
居民储蓄
政府储蓄
转化效率
private savings
public savings
the efficiency of saving-investment conversion
empirical analysis
