新时期中国的对外开放战略

A Study on China's Opening-up Strategy in a New Period

本文首先对实施28年之久的对外开放战略进行了评价,肯定了其对体制改革和经济发展的重要贡献。其次根据进入21世纪以来中国经济发展和体制改革出现的新特点,提出了新时期对外开放战略的重点,即在经济发展方面,重点是通过不断扩大的出口规模,为国内的工业化建设换取必须的各类初级产品;在经济体制方面,重点是在2015年以前通过贸易顺差的扩大吸纳国内的过剩资本和生产能力,以保持中国经济增长的连续性与社会稳定。最后根据这些战略重点以及新战略面临的国际背景,分析了新时期战略实施的可行性,并提出了若干具体的战略目标。

This paper first appraises the effects of the opening--up strategy since China adopted it in 1978, affirming its great contributions to economic development and reform. Secondly, based on the characteristics of the Chinese economy in the new century, it proposes transforms of the emphasis of opening--up strategy. That is, with respect of economic development, the emphasis should be transformed to trade pri- mary goods with expansions of exports, and with respect of economic reform the emphasis should be transformed to maintain the sustainability of economic growth and social stability through the expansion of trade surplus. Finally, the paper analyzes the feasibility of the new opening--up strategy and forwards several concrete orientations