内蒙古产业结构变动对经济增长影响的实证分析

AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF THE CHANGE OF INNER MONGOLIAN INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE ON ECONOMIC GTOWTH

产业结构及其调整会推动或制约经济的发展。在不同时期和不同地区,产业结构调整对经济增长的绩效是不一样的。笔者运用线性回归模型、贡献率等分析方法就内蒙古产业结构变动与经济增长的相互关系及其对国民经济增长的影响效果进行实证分析,结果表明内蒙古产业结构变动对经济增长具有较大促进作用,但内蒙古产业结构也存在着升级速度缓慢、三次产业就业结构和投资结构不尽合理等问题,仍需采取一定对策如实施主导产业选择发展的调整战略、调整投资结构方向等对策使其进一步优化。

Industrial structure and its adaptation may push or restrict economic development and in different periods and different regions, the adaptation of industrial structure may have different performances as far as economic growth is concerned. Making use of analytical methods of linear regression model and rate of contribution, the author makes an empirical analysis about the relationship between Inner Mongolia industrial structure change and economic growth, and the influence on national economic growth. The results are as follows： Inner Mongolia industrial structure change can greatly promote economic growth, but there are problems such as the slow upgrading of Inner Mongolian industrial structure, and the irrationality of employment structure and investment structure. Therefore, certain measures such as choosing to develop dominate industries and adjusting the direction of investment structure should be taken in order to optimize Inner Mongolia industrial structure.