能源技术预见及其中日比较

Energy Technology Foresight and Comparison with the 7th Technology Foresight in Japan

阐述了技术预见的定义和发展,对“中国未来20年技术预见研究”能源技术领域的德尔菲调查进行了概要介绍和系统分析,并与日本第7次技术预见进行了比较,得出了一些初步结论。

This paper first introduced the definition and development of the technology foresight, then gave brief introduction and systematic analysis of the Delphi survey in energy technology which is the sub- project belongs to the project of technology foresight Research toward 2020 in China. The results of energy technology foresight were compared with the 7th Technology Foresight in Japan in 2001. Some primary conclusions were drawn finally.