石油管市场前景展望(上)

Forecast of OCTG Prospects(Part Ⅰ)

近年来随着世界经济的复苏,特别是中国经济的发展,全球及中国对能源需求的旺盛,石油管需求急增。分析了全球包括中国的石油天然气资源和消费情况以及OCTG的供求情况,阐明了石油天然气与钢管及OCTG的对应关系,指出全球OCTG将供大于求;分析了国内细分市场中OCTG的供求现状、存在的问题及应对措施。预测了今后石油管的需求情况,提出了投资石油管存在的风险。

Thanks to resurgence of the global economy, particularly the rapid development of Chinese economy over the recent years, energy demands from both world and domestic markets are so big, which has led to the greatly increasing of the need of OCTG. Discussed in the paper are the situations concerning the global and domestic petroleum and natural gas resources and consumptions there of as well as the supply-demand of OCTG. Also analyzed are the relationship between the resources of oil and natural gas, steel tube production and OCTG supply, based on which it is concluded that the supply would exceed the demand in the world OCTG market. In addition, investigations of the current demands for OCTG in different market places in the country are made, relevant problems pointed out, and countermeasures proposed. Finally the future demand for OCTG is forecast, and risks concerning investment in OCTG industry warned against.