摘要
本文以上海1985—2005年间的保费收入和GDP数据的对数值为依据,利用Eviews3.1进行实证研究。得到的结论有:(1)上海市保险业发展与经济增长高度正相关,保险业发展与经济增长之间具有协整关系;(2)保险业发展与经济增长之间存在由经济增长到保险业发展的格兰杰因果关系,国民经济的快速发展有利于促进保险业发展。本文还提出了大力发展保险业的相关对策。
This paper takes the Logarithm of insurance premium and GDP data from 1985 to 2005 in Shanghai as the basis, employing Eviews 3.1 for the empirical study. The conclusion includes： 1） insurance industry development and economic growth in Shanghai have a high positive correlation,there being a co-integrated relationship between them; 2） The Granger causality exists from economic growth to insurance industry development, and the rapid development of the national economy is beneficial to the insurance industry. This paper also provides some solutions to develop our insurance industry.
出处
《华东理工大学学报（社会科学版）》
2007年第1期53-56,共4页
Journal of East China University of Science and Technology：Social Science Edition
关键词
适保险密度
保险深度
协整
格兰杰因果关系
insurance density
insurance depth
co-integration
granger causality
