虚拟经济的波动特征与演化路径——基于复杂性科学的研究

The Characteristics in Fictitious Economy' s Fluctuation and its Route of Evolution: Based on the Complexity Science

关于虚拟经济的研究方法,理论界一直处于不断探求的过程中。学者们逐步意识到寻求一种更能准确反映虚拟经济特征的研究方法,对进一步深入探索愈来愈重要。近年来复杂性科学迅速崛起,其研究问题的视角对诸多领域产生了深刻的影响。本文从复杂性的视角出发,通过理论与实证双方面分析得出,虚拟经济波动呈现复杂性系统的主要特征;并借助复杂性系统的演化路径,探索出虚拟经济波动的演化路径。

The theorists have continuously explored the method for researching the fictitious economy. They gradually realize that seeking one kind of method to reflect the fictitious economy＇s characteristic more clearly is increasingly important to the thorough research. In recent years, the complex science developed rapidly, its angle of view in researching questions has had the profound influence to many domains. This article embarks from the complex science angle of view, attesting that the fictitious economy may be regarded as a system, especially a complex system, and has the main characteristics of complex system, both in the theoretical and empirical way; Then analyzes the complex system＇s route of evolution, incorporating with the fictitious economy＇s own peculiarity, thus draws out the route of evolution in the fluctuation of fictitious economy. This article aims to provide a new mentality for the next research.