国际旅游者出游的隐性相关因素分析——以我国主要入境客源国为例

An Analysis of Recessive-related Factors of Travel for International Tourists——A Case of China's Major Inbound Tourism-generating Countries

本文从影响旅游者出行的隐性相关因素角度,以2003年截面数据为准,选取了17个国家和6项同旅游者出境旅游及花费相关的隐性相关因素进行了因子和聚类分析。分析结果显示旅游者出境人数和花费主要受客源国人均GDP、国民教育水平、消费水平和稳定的消费环境、民用航空业发达程度因素的影响;我国17个主要客源国因隐性相关因素的影响而聚合为5大类;其来华旅游人数和其总体出境旅游人数相比还处于较低水平;短期内我国入境游客源国的开发重点应该是1—4类国际客源国。

Based on the data of 2003 and from the angle of recessiverelated factors that can influence tourists＇ travel behavior, the paper selects six recessive factors related to outbound travel and costs in seventeen countries with factor analysis and clustering method. The results reveal： the number of outbound tourists and their costs are principally affected by per capita GDP, national educational level, consumptive level and steady consumptive circumstances and developing level of civil aviation industry of tourism-generating countries. China＇s seventeen major tourism-generating countries are clustered into five categories, influenced by recessive factors. The number of overseas tourists to China is in a relatively lower level compared to their total number of outbound tourists. The focus of recent exploitation of China＇ s inbound tourlsm-generating countries should be 1-4 categories.