摘要
以导弹射击精度评估为对象,研究现场子样相对较小的场合下,具有多阶段试验信息时弹点散布方差的估计问题,将随机加权法与Bayes方法结合起来,给出动态Bayes估计的随机加权调整方案.
This paper discusses how to make good use of multistage information gained from the simulation experiments so as to accomplish the shooting accuracy evaluation in case the real experiment sample is small. Based on Bayes theory and the Bayesian Bootstrap, a new method on dynamic Bayes assessment has been put forward.
出处
《经济数学》
2007年第1期65-68,共4页
Journal of Quantitative Economics
基金
湖南省科技厅软科学研究计划(2006ZK3126)资助项目
关键词
随机加权法
小样本
Bayes法
精度评估
Bayesian bootstrap, small sample, Bayes method, accuracy assessment
