摘要
医疗废物是一类危害极大的特殊废物,引起了世界各国的广泛重视。为便于对医疗废物进行管理,需要对其产量进行预测、研究。本文选择四川省川东北地区的某家三级甲等医院作为研究对象,采用灰色系统模型和具有时变特征的自回归模型分别对其分别进行预测,比较二者的模拟精度,得出后者更具有实践指导意义。
Medical wastes is one kind of hazardous wastes, so it is attached importance to the countries all over the world. In order to develop the management of medical wastes, the outputs should be predicted and researched. Therefore in this paper, one Level-3A hospital in the northeast region of Sichuan province could be the target for studying. The grey prediction model and the auto regression model with the character of time-varying are applied to predict the outputs, comparing to the accuracy of simulation. So it is concluded the latter one may have better instructing significance of practice.
出处
《川北医学院学报》
CAS
2007年第2期173-176,共4页
Journal of North Sichuan Medical College
关键词
医疗废物
灰色模型
自回归
Medical waste
Grey prediction
Auto regression
