郑州马头岗污水处理厂工程投资风险分析

Investing Risk Analysis on Project of Zhengzhou Matougang Sewage Treatment Works

郑州马头岗污水处理厂工程可行性研究采用计算机程序,对项目财务风险进行蒙特卡洛模拟分析。介绍了建设投资、经营成本、销售收入等三项风险变量及其概率分布的确定;详细叙述了蒙特卡洛模拟计算的具体过程和方法。最后通过对工程的投资风险分析得出项目可行的概率,为决策者提出风险建议,也为投资决策提供更全面的参考依据。

A feasibility study on Zhengzhou Matougang Sewage Treatment Works project is adopting computer programme to make Monte Carlo simulation analysis on the item financial risk. The three risk variables, the construction invest, business cost and sales income and their probabilty division are introduced. The detailed process and method of Monte Carlo simulation calculation are presented. Finally, the item feasible probabilty by the invest risk analysis is gained to provide risk advices and more completed reference for the decision maker.