摘要
我们基于与经常的术语预报的最佳的加权的 combinational 建议一个模型,没有经常的术语,象模型和相应模型的一种关系一样给重量和平均错误的公式,并且比较这些模型。最后,一个例子被给,它证明恰当的精确被提高了。
We propose a model based on the optimal weighted combinational forecasting with constant terms, give formulae of the weights and the average errors as well as a relation of the model and the corresponding model without constant terms, and compare these models. Finally an example was given, which showed that the fitting precision has been enhanced.
基金
Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Henan Province(994053200)
关键词
常数项
组合预测
加权
优化
combinational forecasting
constant term
combinational weight
fitting deviation