南北型自由贸易区的原产地规则对其成员国的差异性影响

The Different Effects of the Rules of Origin in North-South Free Trade Area on Its Member Countries

作者在3×3×2的模型中分析了南北型自由贸易区对其成员国的非对称性影响。在目前南北型自由贸易区的典型贸易模式下,严格的原产地规则主要通过影响成员国之间的贸易条件,增加发达成员的福利,而减少发展中成员的福利。严格的原产地规则还会抑制发展中成员国的出口,增加发达成员国的关税收入,或者减少发展中国家的关税收入。

In a 3 × 3 × 2 model, the author analyses the asymmetric effects of North - South FTA on its member countries. In the present typical trade pattern of North - South FTA, the rigid rules of origin increase the developed members＇ welfare and consequently decrease the developing members＇welfare mainly through affecting the trade terms between member countries. In addition the rigid rules of origin restrain exports of developing members, increase the tariff revenue of developed members, or reduce that of developing members.