多变量灰色模型MGM(1,n)在锅炉故障预测中的应用

Application of Grey Multi-variable Model MGM(1,n) for the Fault Prediction of Boiler

针对锅炉故障预测中传统单变量预测方法的不足,提出了一种多变量的预测模型MGM(1,n)。该模型能够反映多个变量之间的相互影响和制约关系,符合锅炉的实际情况。通过仿真研究,它能获得较好的预测效果,不失为一种解决锅炉故障预测的有效方法。

To aim at deficiency of the traditional single - variable predicting method in the fault prediction of boiler,this paper introduces a multivariable predicting model MGM（1, n ）. This model can reflect the interaction between multiple variables, which accords with the actual situation of boiler. According to the simulation,it can get a satisfying result and can be regarded as an effectual method for solving fault prediction of boiler.