人力资本、人力资本结构与区域协调发展——来自中国省级区域的证据

Human Capital,Human Capital Structure and Regional Coordinative Development: the Evidence from Chinese Provinces

本文重点分析了1990-2004年我国各省、自治区和直辖市人力资本和人力资本结构的变化及其对地区经济增长的影响。首先,采用受教育年限法计算各省、自治区和直辖市的人力资本,然后运用基尼系数法测算各地区的人力资本结构系数;在此基础上,将1990-2004年各地区的有关数据组成面板数据模型,检验人力资本和人力资本结构对经济增长的影响。结果表明,我国绝大多数地区的经济增长还处于物质资本推动阶段,人力资本和人力资本结构的作用只在少数地区是显著的;在保持其他变量不变的条件下,人力资本每增加1%,地区生产总值将增加0.25%-0.52%,人力资本结构系数每减少1%,地区生产总值将增加0.18%-0.51%。

This paper is about the measurements of human capital, human capital structure and their affects on the regional economic growth of China＇s provinces. The paper, calculated the human capital of 30 provinces （except Chongching City）, using the method of computing schooling years firstly; then, computed the human capital structure coefficient of the provinces by the method of Gini coefficient. Basing on that, it tested the affects of human capital, human capital structure on the provincial GDP using panel data from 1990 to 2004. The result was that, most of the provinces were in the steps of economic growth driven by the fixed asset investment, and the affects of human capital, human capital structure on the economic growth were significant statistically in few provinces, with other variables maintaining unchangingly, the increase by 1% of human capital, the increase by 0.25%-0.52% of regional GDP; the increase by 1% of human capital structure coefficient, the decrease by 0. 18%- 0. 15% of regional GDP.