养老保险制度改革的经济效应实证分析——55期生命周期一般均衡分析

A Positive Analysis of Economic Effects Emerging From Pension System Reform——General Equilibrium Analysis of 55 Period Life Cycle Model

养老保险制度作为社会保障制度的核心内容,对于保障老年人基本生活,维护社会稳定和经济正常运行发挥了巨大作用。但随着全球范围内人口老龄化进程的加快,各国家均面临不同程度的社会保障体系的财政危机,纷纷采取改革措施。通过建立一个55期生命周期一般均衡模型进行模拟演算,对社会养老保险制度改革所产生的经济效应加以分析和研究。

As the key content of social security system, pension system plays an important role in securing basic living of aged people, and defending stability of our society and economy. However, as global aging process is speeding up, social security system of many countries will undoubtedly encounter financial crisis, so these countries take some reform steps one after another. By establishing a 55 period life cycle model to perform simulative calculations, this thesis aims to analyze and study economic effects emerging from social pension system reform.