FDI与中国全要素生产率的变动——基于DEA与协整分析的实证检验

Does FDI Promote Chinese TFP? An Evidence based on DEA and Cointegration

FDI的流入对我国经济发展和技术进步所起到的影响一直是存在较大争论的问题。本文以中国改革开放以来的数据为基础,通过数据包络分析(DEA)方法对我国近年来全要素生产率的变动情况进行了估算,在此基础上,通过建立协整与误差修正模型讨论了FDI的流入对我国全要素生产率变动的影响,并由此认为FDI的流入对全要素生产率的提升不会在短期内得到体现,而更多的表现为一种长期趋势性过程。

In recent years, with the development of economy, China′s technology has been promoted as a whole, which is reflected in the promotion of TFP. During this process, the foreign direct investment (FDI) might play an important role. Based upon the data after 1980s, we just calculate the TFP of China by the way of Data Envelope Analysis (DEA), and then set up a cointegration and ECM model to discuss the effect to the TFP that brought by the FDI. By analysis, we consider the effect brought by FDI to TFP as a long term but not a short term procession.