摘要
基于第五次人口普查数据对黑龙江省人口进行了预测。预测结果表明:按中方案黑龙江省人口将于2018年左右进入负增长,人口数量将达3 896.11万人,高方案将于2032年进入负增长,人口数量将达4 004.8万人。人口老化将很快成为人口的又一个突出矛盾。
Carried on the estimate to the province population of Heilongjiang for the fifth time according to census data, estimate the result enunciation:The province population that press medium project Heilongjiang will be 38.96 million in 2018 into the negative growth ,the high project will enter the negative growth in 2032, the population quantity will amount to 40. 04 million people.
出处
《东北农业大学学报(社会科学版)》
2007年第2期89-91,共3页
Journal of Northeast Agricultural University:Social Science Edition
关键词
人口预测
预测模型
生育模式函数
人口老龄化
population forecast, forecasting model, function of women fertility, aging of the population