多随机过程作用下的南水北调西线合理调水量

Reasonable Water Regulation of West Route of South North Water Transfer Project under the Effect of Multi-Random Process

南水北调西线工程的调水量,受多个随机过程的影响。以黄河干流花园口站为例,应用序列运算理论,分析研究了在多随机过程相互作用下,南水北调西线工程合理调水量。结果表明:在花园口站年缺水量、黄河干流输水能力和花园口配水量3个随机过程共同作用下,合理的年调水量应为160亿m3;年调水170亿m3和80亿m3也是可行的方案。

The amount of water regulation of the West Route of South North Water Transfer Project is affected by multi random process.The paper analyzes and studies the reasonable amount of water regulation of the project under the interaction of multi random process by taking Huayuankou Station of the main Yellow River as an example and using serial operation theory.The outcomes show that the rational annual volume of water regulation should be 16 billion m3 under the joint actions of three random processes of annual water deficit of Huayuankou Station,carrying capacity of the main river and distribution volume of Huayuankou and;the plan of annual water regulation of 17 billion m3 and 8 billion m3 is also feasible.