中部塌陷、金融弱化与中部崛起的金融支持

Central Sinking,Financial Weakening and Studies on Realizing the Central Rising by Financial Support

本文从分析中部地区经济与金融发展的现状入手,探究中部地区经济增长瓶颈以及金融弱化之间的关系,并运用中部六省的省级数据,通过面板数据单位根检验、协整检验与误差修正模型,对中部地区金融发展与经济增长总量、产业结构优化以及城镇化水平之间的长期关系和短期关系进行了研究。结果显示,中部金融发展与经济增长具有长期的均衡关系,金融发展能够为中部崛起提供有利的支持,但在短期则无明显关系。在此基础上,提出了实现中部崛起与金融发展的路径选择与政策建议。

Based on the analysis of current situation in the central region we explores the relationship between the bottleneck of the economic growth as well as financial weakening. Then we use provincial data of six provinces in central and use panel data unit root test, the co-integration test and error correction model to analyze whether financial development can improve economy, industrial structure as well as the level of urbanization in both long and short periods. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium between financial development and economic growth, and financial development can support the economic growth, while in the short term there isn＇ t any significant relationship. Lastly, based on the conclusions in the research above, we discuss the coordinate financial development approach to realize the central rising and put forward some advice.