舰舰导弹突防概率求解的一种仿真算法

Simulation Arithmetic of Calculating Penetration Probability of Ship_Ship Missile

分析防御武器对舰舰导弹的拦截过程,建立了齐射舰舰导弹和防御系统的仿真对抗模型,利用此模型和一定的仿真策略实现了对齐射舰舰导弹突防概率的求解,这种仿真求解的算法比用排队理论的求解算法计算结果更加的可信。为评价舰舰导弹的射击能力和作战效能,提供了必要的分析手段。

Through analysing process of defense weapons holding up ship_ship missiles, ship_ship missiles and defense system＇s simulation countermining mode were built. Penetration probability of ship_ship missiles lauched together was calculated using these models and definite simulation tactic,The result in the simulation arithmetic is more accurate compared to the result in queuing theory arithmetic.The arithmetic can be used as a necessary analysis means to evaluate shipship missiles＇ shooting ability and operational effectiveness.