从GDP再到GNP的跨越——我国经济建设和对外开放的长远目标

The Stride from GDP to GNP——the Long-term Target of Chinese Economy Development and Opening Up Policy

为了更好地应对资源瓶颈和大额贸易顺差导致的国际收支不平衡对我国经济发展构成的长期挑战,本文在分析了我国面临的资源供需矛盾后,提出A系数并计算了GNP视角下的贸易顺差,然后将其与GDP下的贸易顺差进行了比较分析,进而提出了重建GNP核算体制及其相应的经济开放战略,即建立国内外统筹的资源开发储备体制、实施进出口贸易平衡策略以及鼓励资源型企业"走出去",在全球范围内实现经济增长、资源安全和贸易平衡的动态有效匹配。

In order to deal with the bottleneck of resources and the long term challenge to our national economy caused by imbalance of international trade surplus, this paper analyzes the inconsistency between the demand and supply of resource faced by us at first. Secondly, this article calculates the trade surplus under GNP by using A modulus, and compares it with the trade surplus under GDP. At last, the reconstruction of the estimation of GNP and its corresponding opening strategy, including the overall planning of both domestic and international markets, enlarging the relevant import and encouraging the national enterprises to 'go out' to invest abroad, has been put forward, which is propitious to realize the dynamic and effective match between economic growth, resource safety and trade balance in the global extension.