美国情报部门对中国核武器计划的评估与预测(1955—1967)

The United States Intelligence Community's Assessment and Forecast of China's Nuclear Weapon Program (1955-1967)

从1955年中国开始决定研制核武器,到1967年成功进行氢弹试验,中国在核技术方面取得了飞速的发展。尽管美国情报部门对中国首次核试验的核装料发生明显的误判,也低估了中国在热核武器上的能力,但从整体上基本勾勒了中国核武器计划的全貌。

From 1955 onward China intended to develop nuclear weapons and till 1967 it conducted a thermonuclear test successfully. China made accelerated progress in its nuclear techniques. Even though the United States intelligence community made a clearly wrong judgmnent on the fissionable material of China＇s first nuclear test and underestimated China＇s capabilities of developing thermonuclear weapons, it outlined the Chinese nuclear weapon program on the whole.