1997～2005年中国大陆M≥6强震危险区预测检验与总结研究

Predictive testing and summary on risk areas of strong earthquakes(M≥6.0) from 1997 to 2005 in main land of China

作者在《中国强震活动图像与地震预报》中运用地震活动图像分析方法，对中国大陆1997～2005年M≥6强震危险性做出了趋势预测，经过预测期内强震实况检验，取得了较好效果。本文对预测方法思路进行了回顾性研究，总结了基本经验和教训，对于提高强震趋势预测研究水平有一定参考价值。

The seismicity pattern analysis method, which is discussed in the article： strong earthquakes activity patterns in China and earthquake prediction, was used in the tendency prediction for the strong earmquaKes （M≥ 6. 0） in main land of China from 1997 to 2005. The strong earthquake cases occurred in the predictive period show a good testing result. We furthermore follow the predictive thought line to re-study the strong earthquakes and summarize some of improved methods.