能源、技术与经济增长——基于中国与印度的比较分析被引量：16

Energy,Technology and Economic Growth

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摘要本文在Romer（1990）内生经济增长模型的基础上，以加入能源因子和将技术因子与能源、劳动力相融合为特征，得到更贴近现实的反映经济增长的产出方程式。通过检验中国和印度1965～2004年间的实证数据，运用VAR模型、Johansen协整检验和向量误差修正模型（VECM）等方法，对两国的能源及技术与经济增长的长期关系和短期动态影响进行了比较分析。结果显示：长期中，加入技术变量的能源因素与经济增长的弹性关系，中国表现为负，而在印度为正；技术对于经济增长的总体贡献，印度高于中国。短期中，能源与技术因素的短期波动对中国的经济增长影响较强；而资本的短期波动对印度的经济增长影响较强。 Given the endogenous growth theory of Romer （1990）, this paper enlarges the economic growth model by taking the energy factor together with tech- nology factor into account, and gets a core equation in order to make an empirical analysis. Using China＇s data and India＇s data of 1965-2004, we analyze the longrun equilibrium relationship and the short-run dynamic process among energy consumption, technology and civil economic growth, by establishing VAR models, doing Johansen Cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model methods.

作者郭晔

机构地区厦门大学宏观经济研究中心

出处《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第6期137-145,共9页 Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基金 "教育部文科重点研究基地2005年度重大研究项目(批准号:05JJD790093)"的阶段性研究成果

关键词能源因素内生经济增长技术进步中印比较 Energy Factor Endogenous Economic Growth Technology Progress Comparison between China and India

分类号 F062.4 [经济管理—政治经济学]

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参考文献27

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