二元经济条件下的结构调整与经济增长

Structure Adjustment and Economic Growth in Dualistic Economy

产值与就业结构的调整究竟是经济增长的结果还是原因?为回答这一问题,本文提出了一个内生农业技术进步的二元经济增长模型,分析了农业技术进步、劳动转移、资本积累在二元经济增长中的相互关系。对该模型的分析表明,虽然结构变化与经济增长存在着密切的关系,但只有总量的高增长率才能导致经济结构的高变换率,因此结构变化并不能成为经济增长的原因。推动经济增长乃至于结构调整的主要因素是技术进步,而人力资本则是影响技术进步的主要因素,在这个意义上,我们认为提高人力资本的平均水平是实现结构调整与经济增长的根本途径。

This article comes up with a dualistic economic growth model in the relations of agricultural technology progress and labor emigration and capital accumulation is analyzed. Although the structure adjustment is related highly with economic growth, the structure adjustment is not the reason of economic growth. The fundamental element driving economic growth as well as structure adjustment is technology progress, and human capital is the reason of technology progress. So improving the level of human capital is the basic pathway of realizing structure adjustment and economic growth.