主成分分析模型在河北省农村第一产业电力消费预测研究中的应用

Application of Main Component Analysis in the Research on the First Industry Electric Power Consumption in Rural Area of Hebei Province

电力需求与经济发展密切相关,第一产业经济发展决定其电力需求。根据历年经济发展及电力需求状况找出第一产业国内生产总值和城市化率是决定第一产业电力需求的主要因素,采用主成分分析方法对河北省农村第一产业电力需求进行预测。

The demand of electric power is closely correlative to the economic development.The demand of the first industry electric power consumption is determined by the economic development.With a view to historical economy and electric power status,the first industry GDP and urbanization ratio are discovered to be the major factors that are determining the first industry electric power consumption.The method of main component analysis was applied to forecast the first industry electric power consumption in rural area for all-round well-off society in Hebei.