西藏经济增长影响因素的实证分析

Diagnosis Analysis on Influential Factors of Tibetan Economy Growth

西藏在20世纪80年代以后,总体上保持经济快速增长,那么影响经济快速持续增长的动力是什么?本文以柯布-道格拉斯和索洛生产函数为基础,把物资资本、人力资本、劳动力以及制度等有关因素纳入经济模型中做了实证分析,得出物质资本对西藏经济增长的贡献最大;人力资本对西藏经济增长已有了很大的促进作用,但仍没成为主要因素;社会主义市场经济也有了长足的发展,但有着优越条件的对外贸易对经济增长的影响很小;科技以及其他因素的影响是微不足道的结论。最后建议要继续加强对人力资本和科学技术的投入,同时要利用西藏对外贸易的先天优势,大力发展对外贸易。

After 1980's,Tibetan economic growth maintains fast as a whole,what is the motivator then? Based on Cobb-Dauglas and Solow's production function,this article puts the commodity capital,the human capital,labor force,system as well as other related factors into real diagnosis analysis,concluding that the material capital contributes most to Tibetan economy growth; The human capital promotes the development of Tibet economy,but doesn't take the prime position; The socialist market economy has also developed considerably,but the foreign trade which has excellent conditions hasn't exerted enough influence; The influence of technical as well as other factors is not worthy of mention. To sum up,we should continue to increase the investment of the human capital as well as science and technology,simultaneously we'd better make good use of the advantage of Tibet foreign trade and develop it vigorously.