从包钢股份看股票市场的不确定性

Know the Uncertainty in Stock Market from Baotou Steel Share

在股票市场中,市场的走势能不能被预测是投资者关心的一个问题。文章对股票趋势预测是否科学进行了深入的分析,并结合包钢股份的K线分析,说明了投机不是一门科学,而是一门技巧。股票市场的运行具有内在规律,市场的趋势可以预测,趋势的发展具有模糊性,趋势的细节不可精确预测。预测与操作的有机组合,可以从投机市场中盈利;预测与操作组合的不当,将给投资者带来高风险。

In the stock market, whether the trend of market can be forecasted is an interested problem for the investor. The article analyzes deeply whether the forecast of stock trend is scientific. Analysing the K line of Baotou Steel Share, it shows ： the speculation is not a science,but is an art;the going in the stock market exists regularity,the people can forecast the trend in the market; because the trend is dim, the details of trend can not be forecasted exactly. If the investor constitutes the forecast and the operate very well,he can profit in speculation market,otherwise it will bring the high risk for him.