摘要
供应链的组建类型取决于市场需求的变化趋势,在对Markov链的基本思想进行分析的基础上,利用其平稳性和无后效性的基本特征,构建了基于Markov链的市场随机需求预测模型,提出了模型的相关步骤,并指出构建转移矩阵时应注意的问题。实例证明基于Markov链的产品市场预测模型能有效地预测产品未来市场变化趋势。
The creation type of supply chain depends on market the changing tendency of market demand. Analyzing the basic idea of Markov chain, the paper builds a statistical forecas- ting model for market random demand with the basic characteristic of no aftereffect and stability, puts forward the interrelated processes of model, and specifies the issue noticed when building a transfer matrix. Example proves that the forecasting model based on Markov chain can effectively predict the future changing tendency in product market.
出处
《工业工程与管理》
2007年第3期13-15,20,共4页
Industrial Engineering and Management
关键词
马尔科夫链
转移概率
产品市场预测
Markov chain
shift probability
prediction of product market
