世界石油供应格局演变及价格走势分析

Analysis on the Evolution of Supply Pattern and the Tendency of Price Concerning World Oil

世界石油资源地域分布极不平衡,受资源丰度、勘探进展及开发强度等因素影响,世界石油供应格局发生了深刻变化。目前世界石油供应多元化的格局不仅形成,而且正不断得到强化。在供应多元化的基础上,石油市场构成已从垄断性向竞争性转变,供求关系将在决定油价方面发挥积极作用,但投机行为仍将左右国际市场油价变动的步伐和幅度,一定范围内的油价波动将在所难免。

The oil resources throughout the world have a disparate distribution.And under the influences of many factors,such as poor or rich in oil resources,the progress in exploration and the intensity of exploitation,great changes have taken place in the supply pattern of the world oil.Through analysis,the author realizes that the diversification of pattern of the world oil supply not only has been formed but also is being intensified constantly.On this account,the formation of oil market has changed from monopoly to competitiveness,and moreover,the relationship between the supply and the demand will play an active role in fixing the oil price.Meanwhile,we should not neglect that speculative behavior will be still controlling the steps and range of oil price in the international market,and the oil price fluctuation in a certain range is inevitable.