流出人口与农村家庭户特征——基于流出地的分析

Out-migrant and Characteristics of Household in Rural Area——Analysis Based on the Origin

从迁出地(农村)角度出发,利用五普千分之一原始数据,以家庭户为基本分析单位,比较了有迁出人口和没有迁出人口的家庭户的部分特征差异,利用Logistic回归和负二项回归,分别分析家庭特征对人口迁出及迁出人数的影响作用。回答的问题是:什么样的家庭户才会有迁出人口。证明了所提出的假设:在以家庭或家族为经济活动单位的当今中国,个人的迁移行为,除受个人因素及社会经济因素的影响之外,家庭户的各种特征对人口迁移有着显著的影响作用。

Based on the one-thousand census original data and the viewpoint of original place, especially the rural area,this paper compares the with and without out-migrants, and examines the differences of the characteristics of household effects of the characteristics of household on out-migration decision making, and the number of out- migrants. This paper wants to answer this question： what kind of household would be more likely to induce the member to out-migrate. The results testify the assumptions, that is, in Chinese society with family or household as the basic economic unit,individual＇s migration decision-making are significantly influenced by not only the individual＇s characteristics and macro socio-economic background,but also the characteristics of households.