中国特殊国际收支结构的原因探析——基于人口年龄结构的视角

Causes of Chinese Special Balance of Payments Structure——from the point of age structure

近年来,中国国际收支出现经常账户和资本账户双顺差的局面,这有别于一般发展中国家的模式,这种特殊国际收支结构已成为国内外理论界和实务界关注的热点。本文通过理论推演和实证分析认为,中国特殊国际收支结构与人口年龄结构有着密切联系,提出当前我们不能陶醉于国际收支双顺差的美丽光环之中,要清醒地看到其中的隐忧,并建议采取相应对策加以应对。

In recent years, Chinese international income and expenses always acquires double favorable balance of current account and capital account. It differs with the usual developing countries＇ and becomes the focus both in theoretical field and actual practice field in or abroad. Through theoretical deduction and experiment analysis, the paper holds the point that the special structure relates a lot to age structure, presents that we should walk out of the shining shadow of that double favorable balance, look into the worries instead, and it＇s supposed to find countermeasures to cope with it.