摘要
应用灰色系统理论和模糊数学的方法,建立了马尔可夫链式预测模型。利用某防洪堤观测资料,预测堤段变形。将灰色马尔科夫链和考虑模糊区域的灰色马尔可夫链所算预测值对比,说明考虑模糊区域的灰色马尔可夫链模型比一般的灰色马尔科夫链更加优越。
Grey system theory and fuzzy mathematics are employed to establish the A.A. Mapkob prediction model. The deformation is predicted by using the observation data of a flood embankment of a project. A comparison of predicted value between grey A.A. Mapkob and grey A.A. Mapkob model at thinking fuzzy region demonstrates that the latter is better than the former.
出处
《红水河》
2007年第2期33-36,共4页
Hongshui River
关键词
模糊区域
灰色马尔可夫链
水平位移
预测
防洪堤
fuzzy region
grey A.A. Mapkob
horizontal displacement
prediction
flood embankment
