中国与老挝两国双边贸易发展特点及其存在的问题分析

Characteristics of and Problems in the Sino-Laotian Bilateral Trade

本文在分析老挝实施革新开放政策前后进出口贸易发展特点的基础上,利用相关统计数据,从实证角度研究中国与老挝双边贸易关系发展的特点及其存在的问题,并提出相关政策建议。本文认为:革新开放以前,老挝进出口贸易增长速度较低且保持相对稳定性,革新开放以后进出口增长速度相对较高,但波动性增大,稳定性降低;中国已逐渐成为老挝的重要的贸易伙伴,老挝经济发展对中国市场的依赖程度有不同程度的提高;如何消除双边经贸关系中的不平衡性和不稳定性,是深化两国双边与多边跨国区域经济合作面临的问题;可以在中国——东盟自由贸易区建设框架下推动双边区域经济合作,使之成为中国与东盟国家区域经济合作的纽带和桥梁。

Bases on the statistical analyses of the Lao＇ s import and export since the country＇ s implementation of reform and opening - up policy, this paper explores, with the positive method, the characteristics and problems of Si- no - Laotian bilateral trade and proposes effective approaches in policy - making. Before the reform and opening- up policy, the Lao＇ s import - export trade remained stable despite the slow increase while it becomes fairly unstable despite the high rise after the implementation of the policy. Meanwhile, the Lao＇ s economic development has become more dependent on China, its important trade partner. It is thus imperative to rid the unbalance and instability in the trade relations between the two countries. It is proposed that the Sino- Laotian trade be promoted in the framework of China - ASEAN free - trade zone, making it a bridge for China - ASEAN economic cooperation.