我国产业结构与科技人才培养结构:1978—2005年的实证研究

Empirical Analysis on the Relation between the Industrial Structure and Scientists and Technicians' Training Structure in our Country from 1978 to 2005

文章从产业结构对科技人才培养结构影响的理论分析入手,针对两者之间的关系,首先采用格兰杰(Granger)因果关系检验方法,得出我国产业结构是科技人才培养结构的原因,而科技人才培养结构不是产业结构的原因;然后通过拓展的Dickey-Fuller检验,利用协整检验技术,说明我国的产业结构和科技人才培养结构之间不存在长期稳定的关系。

This paper carries out the analysis from the industrial structure＇s influence on scientists and technicians＇ training structure, Focusing on the relation between the industrial structure and scientists and technicians＇ training structure, firstly, the paper uses the Granger causality test and finds out that in our country the industrial structure is the reason of scientists and technicians＇ training structure, while scientists and technicians＇ training structure is not the reason of the industrial structure; then, the paper, using the augmented Dickey-Fuller test and cointegration test, proves that there is no long- term stationary relation between two variables.