摘要
渤海海峡跨海通道建设是一项综合运输建设,主要涉及铁路、公路和水路运输三项内容。以2002年投入产出表为基础,运用产出乘数、投资乘数和就业乘数等系数和指标定量预测了渤海海峡跨海通道建设投资对国民经济的贡献,预测结果表明,渤海海峡跨海通道建设投资的产出乘数为2.578 5,投资乘数为1.279 1,就业乘数为750,影响力系数为1.146 8,说明渤海海峡跨海通道建设对其他部门的波及影响程度略高于各部门的平均影响水平,对国民经济起到了应有的贡献。
The construction of Bohai Sea-Crossing Passage is a comprehensive transportation construction,mainly including railway, highway and waterway. On the basis of the input-output sheet in 2002, the output multiplication, investment multiplication and employment multiplication are applied to predict quantitatively the contribution of the construction investment of Bohai Sea-Crossing Passage to national economy. The prediction results show the output multiplication is 2. 578 5, investment multiplication is 1. 279 1, employment multiplication is 750 and influnce coefficient is 1. 146 8, which prove the influence of the construction of Bohai Sea-Crossing Passage is higher than the average of other industries and the Passage construction makes the contribution to national economy.
出处
《公路》
北大核心
2007年第6期118-121,共4页
Highway
基金
国家科技攻关计划"渤海海峡跨海通道前瞻性研究"
项目编号2004BA905B09