东亚一体化中的非对称依赖结构风险及其化解

Unsymmetrical Interdependence in the East Asian Economic Integration

东亚一体化以市场驱动和制度驱动两种方式演进。然而,无论从市场驱动的区域生产网络还是从区域贸易协定的制度安排的现状和发展趋势上来看,东亚各经济体都存在非对称的相互依赖关系。非对称经济网络中的技术依赖和市场依赖,区域贸易协定的非对称发展趋势对多边自由化可能造成的抵触及其所带来的高昂的一体化政治成本等,会产生对一体化的反作用力量。因而,东亚必须以区域制度创新化解现有的矛盾和问题,以提高东亚经济在全球经济中的效益和竞争地位。

The integration of East Asia is driven both by market and institution. However, whether viewed from the current situations or from developing trend of regional production net and system arrangement of regional trade agreement, each economy in East Asia shares the common characteristic of unsymmetrical interdependence. The technological and market dependence, resistance to multi-liberalization and expensive political cost of integration, caused by economic unsymmetrical interdependence, will probably exert negative influence on East Asian integration. Therefore, regional institutional innovation must be taken to solve the problems, to increase the gains and promote international economic status.