甘肃省“十一五”期间固定资产投资与经济增长预测分析

A Forecasting Analysis of Fixed Asset Investment and Economic Growth in Gansu during the Period of the Eleventh Five-year Plan

通过甘肃省国内生产总值和固定资产及相关数据,利用C-D生产函数模型预测甘肃省“十一五”期间GDP增长速度,结果显示:为使甘肃省“十一五”期间国民经济维持快速稳步增长,适度的投资规模是必要的,保证固定资产投资在6 800亿元左右比较合理。

By using the GDP data,the fixed assets and some related data of Gansu province,the C-D production function model was used to forecast the growth speed of GDP in Gansu province during the period of the eleventh five-year plan.The results showed that in order to keep up the economic growing up smoothly during the period of the eleventh five-year plan,the moderate investment scale was necessary required,and the reasonable investment scale of the fixed assets investment was about 680 billion yuan.