专家群体思维中分歧专家的确定与处理

The Determination and Treatment of Divergence Experts in Expert Group Thought

在多个专家参与调查或者研讨时,群体思维往往有从众或者从权威现象,限制了个性独创思维的发展,为了避免这一不利于创新的弊端,并鼓励个性独创思维的存在,专家群体思维中分歧专家的确定及分歧专家意见的特殊处理显得特别关键。在分歧专家确定中,应用图形法形象地给出了群体思维收敛程度,并在一定收敛级别内,通过分析专家评价与收敛级别界限的关系确定分歧专家,最后通过扩大分歧专家在群体意见集成中的权重增强了分歧意见的重要程度,从而,既重视了专家群体思维中的收敛意义,也重视了分歧专家的个性意见,加强了群体思维的人性化过程。

When many experts take part in a research or a discussion, group thought often tends to multitude or authority, which restricts the development of individual and independent thought. In order to avoid this disadvantage unfavorable to innovation and encourage individual and independent thought, the determination of divergence experts in expert group thought and the special treatment of the divergence experts＇ opinions appears more important. During the determination of divergence experts, pattern method is applied to give the convergence degree of group thought visually. And in the certain convergence grade, divergence experts can be determined by analyzing the relation of expert evaluation and divergence grade limit. Finally the importance of divergence opinion is strengthened by enlarging the weight factor of divergence experts in group opinions. Then the convergence meaning of expert group thought and the individual opinion of divergence experts can be paid attention, and the humanization process of group thought can be enhanced.