作战飞机对地攻击效能评估的markov模型

Markov Model for Air-to-Ground Attack Effectiveness Assessment

针对作战飞机对地攻击的效能评估问题,以单机对具有防空火力支援的敌地面目标打击为研究对象,运用markov随机过程理论,建立了攻击机对地攻击过程的动态模型,推导了状态转移矩阵。提出以“目标被击毁、攻击机存活”与“目标与攻击机同时被击毁”概率的加权和作为最终效能评估准则,一定程度上反映了战场指挥官的意志与作战意图。仿真算例验证了模型的有效性。

To cope with the Air-to-Ground attack effectiveness assessment, taking single plane attacking ground target with aerial defence support as study object, based on markov stochastic process theory, the combat model was put forward and the system transfer matrix was derived, too. Taking the weighted sums of probability of ＂ground target destroyed but the attack plane alive ＂ and ＂ground target and attack plane both destroyed＂ as effectiveness assessment rule, the rule could reflect the intention of the war-field commander in some degree. The dynamic markov model may be helpful to the air-to-ground attack effectiveness assessment.