摘要
[目的]探讨气象因素与细菌性痢疾发病的关系。[方法]将北京地区1996～2004年细菌性痢疾月平均发病数据进行描述性分析,对可能影响细菌性痢疾发病的气温、气压、风速、日照时数、降水量等5项研究变量进行单因素相关分析和多元逐步回归分析。[结果]细菌性痢疾的发病与降水、气温呈显著性正相关,与气压呈显著性负相关。[结论]细菌性痢疾发病高峰在每年的7月,报告发病率可用气温、降水量进行预测。
[Objective] To analyse the association between meteorological factors and the incidence of dysentery in Beijing. [Methods] The incidence of dysentery in Beijing was analysed by descriptive study from 1996 to 2004. Analysis of association between incidence of dysentery and meteorological factors, including temperature, atmospheric pressure, wind speed, sunshine time and rainfall etc, was conducted by simple correlation analysis and multiple stepwise regression. [ Results] There was a significant positive correlation between the incidence of dysentery and temperature and rainfall respectively, while a significantly negative correlation with atmospheric pressure. [Conclusion] The incidence of dysentery is the highest in July, and it can be forecasted by temperature and rainfall.
出处
《现代预防医学》
CAS
北大核心
2007年第13期2470-2471,2480,共3页
Modern Preventive Medicine
关键词
气象因素
细菌性痢疾
Meteorological factors
Dysentery
