摘要
在计算与分析广州地区33年实测月降水量序列统计参数的基础上,将月降水量序列进行对数变换,采用一阶AR(P)模型建立了月降水量随机模拟模型。通过与实测结果的比较检验了该模型的适用性。
On the basis of calculation and analysis of statistical parameters of measured monthly rainfall sequences of thirty-three years in Guangzhou area, performs logarithmic transformation of the monthly rainfall sequences, and develops a stochastic simulation model of monthly rainfall by the first order AR(P) model. Validates the model through the comparison with measured data.
出处
《暖通空调》
北大核心
2007年第5期24-26,共3页
Heating Ventilating & Air Conditioning
基金
国家自然科学基金重点项目(编号:50538040)
粤港关键领域重点突破项目(编号:2004A30310001)
关键词
月降水量
随机模拟
AR(P)模型
对数变换
monthly rainfall, stochastic simulation, AR(P) model, logarithmic transformation