企业经营活动现金流量预测的灰色拓扑模型

Corporation Operating Cash Flow Forecasting Using Grey Topological Model

企业经营活动现金流量具有小样本、波动大、影响因素多的特点,难以满足现有预测方法对样本的规模及分布要求.本文采用灰色拓扑预测方法建立了经营活动现金流量的灰色拓扑预测模型,克服了传统预测方法对样本数据的限制,实证检验表明该方法能够较好地对经营活动现金流量中期发展趋势进行描述.

Corporation operating cash flow has the characteristics of small sample scale, severe fluctuation and more influencing factors, which could not meet the requirements of normal forecasting model on sample＇ s scale and distribution. In this paper, operating cash flow forecasting model is built using grey topological predicting ap- proach, which could overcome the restriction of normal forecasting model on sample＇ s character. Empirical test showed that grey topological predicting model can forecast the operating cash flow in mid - term with better accuracy.