压缩型国家人口问题的经济学根源探究

Population Matter of Condensation Model Countries on The View of Economics

由于工业化发生的时间、背景、速度的差异,发展中国家的经济、环境、人口问题呈现出与发达国家不同的特点,从人口学角度分析,具有以下几个特征:人口红利型经济期缩短、人口红利泡沫、人口红利期与实际抚养系数大的矛盾交织等。发展中国家具有的压缩性特征使人口与资源、环境的关系出现了新特征,其中分析人口与经济的关系对建设和谐社会、实现经济社会可持续发展起着十分重要的作用。研究认为引起发展中国家人口问题的经济学根源是:①现代化的产业结构的要求与劳动力现代科学素质普遍低下不相适应;②生产性消费的盲目跟进;③对西方理论的"非本土化"借用。创造"一百英镑技术"型经济模式是解决发展中国家人口问题,保持经济社会稳定持续发展的有效方法。

For the difference of the background, time, speed of the industrialization, condensation model of developing countries has had some different characters from that of developed countries. From the point of demography, the developing countries has such features： population dividend shortened, the foam, the complicated relationship between population dividend and the real rear coefficient, all of ahich that show the new feature of the relationship among population, resources and environment in condensation model industrialization society, and the relation between population and economy is vital. Research reveals that the main cause of population dividend is shortened and other problem lied in economy and society is： ①The modem industrial structure is unfit to the labor＇s education and skill; ②a huge investment scale was continual put to the industrial field; ③using western economics theories blindly. The key to resolve the problem is to discriminate the two different viewpoints： revise the western classify economics theory on the basis of one＇s national conditions, or alter one＇s national conditions according to the western classify economy theory. Theory innovation is the critical factor to promote the economic development of condensation model of industrialization countries. So, creating a kind of ＂one hundred pound technology＂ economy style is an effective way to. solve above problems and keep development sustainable.