战术导弹对单个目标射击效能的马氏链决策分析模型

A Markov Chain Decision Model for Tactical Missile Combat Effectiveness in Attacking Single Target

针对多发导弹攻击单个坚固目标时毁伤效能分析与评估这一复杂问题,运用马尔可夫过程理论建立了独立连射方式下多发战术导弹射击效能分析的马氏链模型.对于各发导弹精度、威力相同且不计毁伤积累的射击情形,建立目标毁伤过程的时齐马氏链模型,定量分析目标毁伤状态的变化;对于各发导弹精度、威力不同或考虑目标毁伤积累的射击情形,建立目标毁伤过程的非时齐马氏链模型;当考虑目标恢复时,建立由目标毁伤过程马氏链和目标修复过程马氏链组成的混合马氏链模型.

Aiming at the complex problem of evaluating tactical missile combat effectiveness in attacking single target, the markov chain decision models for tactical missile combat effectiveness in the way of shooting independently is put forward on the basis of markov theory, and different shooting conditions are considered, the corresponding markov chain models are established. The tactical missile combat effectiveness analysis method presented in this paper is concise and convenient in use, and can offer support for quantitative shooting decision.