制度变迁对我国农业增长的影响：1988-2005

The Effect of Institutional Change to Agricultural Growth in China： 1988--2005

采用中性技术进步和有偏技术进步生产函数对1988．2005年间我国农业制度变迁与农业增长的关系进行计量分析表明：农业制度变迁对1988．2005年间各阶段的农业增长影响显著，而且总体上制度变迁正朝着有利于农业增长的方向发展。从分地区的估计结果来看，各地区依赖各自传统农业增长模式的技术进步空间趋于缩小。未来我国的农业制度变迁应进一步着眼于更有效地配置各生产要素，拓展和深化农业发展空间及利益空间．充分调动农民的生产积极性，协调好农业、农村、农民与其他各层面主体间的分配关系。

Through NTP and BTP production function, this paper econometrically analyzes the relationship between institutional change and agricultural growth in China. It shows that institutional change has prominently affected agricultural growth during 1988~2005 and tends to have a beneficial effect, and the institutionul change is in the direction which is useful for agricultural gowth. In addition, technological progress depending on traditional mode of agricultural growth is inclined to narrow. Institutional change in the future should allocate productive factors more effectively, expand and deepen agricultural development, mobilize the farmers＇ productive enthusiasm and harmonize the distributional relationship among agriculture, the rural, the countryside and other subjects.