中国国家男子篮球队技术指标与比赛成绩的相关分析

Correlative Analysis on Technical Statistics and Competition Result of Our Man's National Basketball Team

通过文献调研、数理统计等方法计算第15届世界男子篮球锦标赛8强球队比赛名次和各项技术统计的相关系数,各指标对比赛名次影响的重要程度依次是:场均罚球次数、罚球得分、抢断、失误、犯规、2分球命中率、场均得分、3分球命中率、3分得分、2分球投篮次数,2分占总分比例、3分占总分比例;中国队的优势指标:罚球命中率、盖帽、罚球得分、场均得分,但这些指标与比赛名次呈低度相关。中国队的劣势指标:抢断、失误、犯规,这些指标对比赛名次呈高度相关,是制约中国队走向世界强队的关键因素。

Through using the method of literature and mathematical statistics, this paper studies the correlative coefficient of competition standing and technical statistics of every index within the first eight of 2006 World Basketball Men Championships. The indexes affect the competition standing in degree from high to low is free throw attempts, free throw points, steals, turnovers, fouls,field goal percentage, points per game, three-point percentage, three points, field goal attempts,two-point percentage in the total points of game, three points percentage in the total points of game. The predominant indexes of Chinese basketball men are free-throw percentage, block, free throw points, points per game, but these indexes correlate to the team standing in low. The disadvantage indexes of Chinese man basketball team are steals, turnovers, fouls per game. However,these indexes highly correlate to team standing which restrict Chinese man basketball to make for the world first-rate team.