摘要
基于概率统计中的对数正态分布,建立了预测油气田产量、可采储量、最大年产量及其发生时间的新模型,并提出了求解模型的线性试差法。通过我国两个油田的实际应用表明,该预测模型是实用有效的。
In this paper,a new model is established based on log normal distribution in probability statistics.This model may be used to predict production rate,recoverable reserves,annual maximum production rate and its occuring time of oil and gas fields.At the same time,the method of linear solution for the model is provided.Application of two oil fields indicate that the model and the method for solution are practical and efficient.
出处
《石油学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
1997年第2期84-88,共5页
Acta Petrolei Sinica
关键词
模型
预测
可采储量
油气田
model prediction production rate recoverable reserves