验前信息可信度及其在Bayes评估中的应用

Confidence Level of Prior Information and Its Application in Bayes Method

验前信息的计算与合理应用是Bayes方法在武器系统射击密集度评估中的关键问题之一。对验前信息可信度定义、计算及其在Bayes评估中的应用进行了阐述,提出了考虑验前信息可信度的射击密集度Bayes评估新方法,为武器系统射击密集度评估提出了新思路。

It is one of important problem to compute confidence level of prior information and its reasonable application in assessment of precision of fire of weapon system for Bayes method. The definition of confidence level of prior information computation and its Application in Bayes Method are elaborated. The new method -- Bayes evaluating method information is presented. The new thought to dispersion of fire considering the confidence level of prior is developed for assessment of dispersion of fire of weapon system.